Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.203780 0.231651 0.261534 0.295907 0.334306 0.375831 0.424086
2026-01-18 0.168554 0.206232 0.249292 0.301970 0.364493 0.436138 0.524250
2026-01-25 0.144443 0.188339 0.241332 0.309640 0.394935 0.497473 0.629572
2026-02-01 0.122449 0.169169 0.228437 0.308487 0.413034 0.544104 0.719899
2026-02-08 0.105345 0.153457 0.217304 0.307248 0.429523 0.588617 0.809682
2026-02-15 0.091607 0.140165 0.207339 0.305686 0.444334 0.630857 0.898348
2026-02-22 0.082971 0.132741 0.204225 0.312558 0.470297 0.688851 1.011079
2026-03-01 0.073778 0.123232 0.196873 0.312208 0.485366 0.732033 1.105261
2026-03-08 0.066118 0.115048 0.190434 0.312209 0.500323 0.775271 1.201344
2026-03-15 0.059678 0.107974 0.184832 0.312654 0.515464 0.819077 1.300108
2026-03-22 0.055125 0.103434 0.182657 0.318007 0.538096 0.874859 1.419261
2026-03-29 0.051622 0.100248 0.182276 0.325989 0.565070 0.938371 1.553139
2026-04-05 0.047270 0.095207 0.178523 0.328403 0.583762 0.990962 1.674566
2026-04-12 0.044095 0.091938 0.177470 0.335202 0.609997 1.056848 1.820491
2026-04-19 0.041485 0.089421 0.177463 0.343707 0.639511 1.129485 1.980946
2026-04-26 0.037779 0.084329 0.172277 0.342484 0.652037 1.174644 2.098566
2026-05-03 0.034463 0.079616 0.167313 0.341146 0.664063 1.219329 2.217334
2026-05-10 0.031459 0.075175 0.162418 0.339443 0.675125 1.262684 2.335679
2026-05-17 0.029776 0.073348 0.162435 0.347002 0.703422 1.337130 2.510717
2026-05-24 0.027420 0.069756 0.158564 0.346622 0.716783 1.385768 2.642863
2026-05-31 0.025326 0.066500 0.155059 0.346625 0.730726 1.435943 2.779818
2026-06-07 0.023470 0.063566 0.151944 0.347116 0.745515 1.488200 2.922677
2026-06-14 0.022223 0.061941 0.151477 0.352999 0.771140 1.561503 3.106858